|
|
|
Annual Borrowing Plan 
|
| Total national government debt |
| End of period |
2023/24 |
2024/25 |
2025/26 |
2026/27 |
2027/28 |
| R billion |
Outcome |
Estimate |
Medium-term estimates |
| Domestic loans |
4,667.8 |
5,095.3 |
5,440.4 |
5,754.9 |
6,026.5 |
| Short-term |
511.2 |
549.5 |
587.6 |
623.5 |
671.5 |
| Long-term |
4,156.6 |
4,545.8 |
4,852.8 |
5,131.4 |
5,355.0 |
| Fixed-rate |
3,010.7 |
3,274.6 |
3,408.4 |
3,525.1 |
3,719.7 |
| Inflation-linked |
1,027.5 |
1,091.0 |
1,228.6 |
1,364.3 |
1,438.7 |
| Floating rate note |
118.3 |
180.2 |
215.8 |
242.1 |
196.6 |
| Foreign loans |
591.6 |
598.3 |
653.9 |
708.9 |
788.4 |
| Gross loan debt |
5,259.4 |
5,693.6 |
6,094.2 |
6,463.8 |
6,814.9 |
Less: National Revenue Fund bank balances |
-195.7 |
-224.8 |
-128.4 |
-133.3 |
-114.0 |
|
| Net loan debt |
5,063.7 |
5,468.8 |
5965.8 |
6,330.5 |
6,700.9 |
| As percentage of GDP: |
| Gross loan debt |
74.1 |
76.1 |
76.2 |
75.9 |
75.1 |
| Net loan debt |
71.4 |
73.1 |
74.6 |
74.4 |
73.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. A longer time series is given in Table 10 of the statistical annexure at the back of the Budget Review
2. Estimates include revaluation based on National Treasury's projections of inflation and exchange rates
Source: National Treasury
| Composition of outstanding government debt |
|
|
| R billion |
March 31, 2024 |
March 31, 2025 |
| Domestic debt |
4,667 |
5,092 |
|
Treasury bills |
511 |
550 |
| Bonds |
4,156 |
4,541 |
| Fixed-rate |
2,983 |
3,249 |
| Inflation-linked |
1,028 |
1,078 |
| Floating rate note |
118 |
184 |
| Retail |
27 |
30 |
| Foreign debt |
592 |
602 |
| % of GDP |
8.4% |
7.6% |
| US$ equivalent |
31 |
33 |
| Gross loan debt |
5,259 |
5,694 |
| % of GDP |
74.6% |
72.3% |
| Less: Cash balances |
196 |
219 |
| Net loan debt |
5,063 |
5,475 |
| % of GDP |
71.8% |
69.5% |
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
| R/$ |
17.777 |
18.369 |
| GDP |
7,048,961 |
7,872,157 |
|
|
| |
| R million |
2023/24 |
2024/25 |
2025/26 |
2026/27 |
2027/28 |
|
|
Outcome |
Budget |
Revised |
Medium-term estimates |
| Main budget balance |
-322 916 |
-320 946 |
-352 722 |
-353 896 |
-313 047 |
-296 352 |
| Redemptions |
-144 395 |
-172 568 |
-98 802 |
-172 838 |
-151 961 |
-303 679 |
| Domestic long-term loans |
-97 250 |
-132 087 |
-61 583 |
-112 252 |
-112 252 |
-277 184 |
| Foreign loans |
-47 145 |
-40 481 |
-37 264 |
-60 586 |
-40 709 |
-26 495 |
| Eskom debt-relief arrangement |
- 76 000 |
- 64 154 |
-64 154 |
-80 223 |
- |
- |
| GFECRA settlement (net)4 |
- |
100,000 |
100,000 |
25,000 |
25,000 |
- |
| Total |
-543 311 |
-457 669 |
-415 678 |
-581 957 |
-441 008 |
-600 031 |
| Financing |
|
|
|
| Domestic short-term loans |
-88 745 |
- 33 00 |
-38 932 |
38 100 |
35 900 |
48 000 |
| Treasury bills (net) |
-88 084 |
- 33 000 |
-38 932 |
38 100 |
35 900 |
48 000 |
| Corporation for Public Deposits |
661 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Domestic long-term loans |
336 239 |
328 100 |
345 000 |
343 200 |
323 400 |
431 700 |
| Market loans |
336 079 |
328 100 |
343 933 |
343 200 |
323 400 |
431 700 |
| Loans issued for switches |
-824 |
- |
-1 067 |
- |
- |
- |
| Loans issued for repos (net) |
- 664 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Foreign loans |
45 663 |
36 700 |
67 027 |
99 342 |
82 101 |
96 658 |
| Market loans |
45 663 |
36 700 |
67 027 |
99 342 |
82 101 |
96 658 |
| Change in cash and other balances |
72 664 |
59 869 |
-35 281 |
101 314 |
-393 |
23 674 |
| Cash balances |
42 672 |
53 112 |
-39 510 |
96 358 |
-4 537 |
19 354 |
| Other balances |
29 992 |
6 757 |
4 229 |
4 956 |
4 144 |
4 320 |
|
|
|
|
| Total |
543 311 |
457 669 |
415 678 |
581 957 |
441 008 |
600 031 |
| Percentage of GDP |
7,7% |
6,1% |
5,6% |
7,3% |
5,2% |
6,6% |
1. A longer time series is presented in Table 1 of the statistical annexure at the back of the Budget Review
2. A positive value indicates that cash is used to finance part of the borrowing requirement
3. Differences between funds requested and actual cash flows of national departments
4. In 2024/25, the Reserve Bank will pay R200 billion to government in partial settlement of the GFECRA balances.
Of this amount government will pay the Reserve Bank R100 billion towards the contingency reserve
Source: National Treasury |
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